We all knew that it was going to have to happen. We went through the national semifinals (Pacquiao v. Margarito and Mayweather vs. Mosley) and now we’re here, where we were the last time that this went on. Everyone’s clamoring for it. We can’t possibly not get it again can we? More after the jump.
The truth is that yes, we can. There are a variety of reasons why it won’t happen.
Firstly, let us all disabuse ourselves of the notion that Mayweather and\or Pacquiao need this fight. They don’t. Floyd can make just as much money with far less risk by hunting down a multitude of guys. (Timothy Bradley and Devon Alexander better have their phone bills paid up.)
Pacquiao, on the other hand, has Juan Manuel Marquez that he can go back to. And maybe even Sergio Martinez or Andre Berto. The point is that they don’t need this. Not nearly as much as we all do.
But the question about will the fight take place is not nearly as exciting as if it even SHOULD. I mean, let’s be real. We’ve all heard what passes for intelligent discourse amongst fight fans nowadays. It only gets worse for the big fights, and I for one am sick of hearing it.
Manny Pacquiao fans will gleefully point out Floyd’s legal problems, reference his father’s craziness, and go on and on with the rest of it to the point of crazed exhaustion. In response, the Mayweather fans will return fire with Pacquiao’s handful of losses, the steroid accusations, and you’ll want to turn the internet off. Let’s be honest. The longer this goes, the worse it is going to get. So make the fight, and let us move on.
But you didn’t come here to read my haranguing about this. You came here to read a prediction for a fight that may or may not happen. So here’s that prediction.
Pacquiao and Mayweather are wildly different fighters. So this, unlike most of the fights that they have had recently, is going to be a battle for the tempo.
If Floyd wins: Simply put, he will slow everything down. That’s what he wants. Because he needs to turn Pacquiao ‘s motor off any way he can. A fight where Manny throws less punches than Floyd per round is a fight he wins. Also, he’s a brilliant counter puncher and a slower-paced fight allows him the chance to hit those sneaky right hands which can win him a comfortable decision.
If Manny Wins: The complete opposite has to happen. This will be a fight for three minutes of every round. Manny wants to push the pace and make his stamina tell the tale. Also, a fast fight with a lot of action means that Floyd’s bad hands will come into play at some point. You can’t expect to trade shots with Manny for 12 rounds and win.
So what’s my prediction? Manny by late-round knockout. It could even be a stoppage by cuts. I just can’t see how Floyd is going to handle a guy who is as quick as he is, and punches much harder.
What do you think is going to happen? Respond below in the comments. Let’s get a debate going.