Ron Glover’s Thanksgiving Day Pick: Houston Texans (9-1) vs. Detroit Lions (4-6): Will the Texans come better prepared for the Lions?

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Andre Johnson’s career day ended with this overtime scamper to victory.

The Houston Texans escaped a monumental letdown Sunday with a 43-37 overtime victory against the 1-9 Jacksonville Jaguars. Matt Schaub had the second best passing yardage day in history, throwing for 527 yards and five touchdowns. An otherwise stingy Texans defense struggled to contain Jacksonville’s offense — one of the NFL’s worst.

The Detroit Lions have all but accepted the role of spoiler after Sunday’s loss to their division rival Green Bay Packers 24-20. Turnovers (4) killed any chance that the Lions had of overtaking the surging Packers.

The Lions have lost eight consecutive Thanksgiving day games dating back to 2003.

The Lions need a rip-roaring effort from Charles Johnson against the Texans.

The Houston Texans nearly took their win over the Chicago Bears two weeks ago and threw it back up in their fans faces  against the Jaguars. The vaunted Texans defense gave up 354 passing yards to backup Chad Henne.  Houston faces another test in Matthew Stafford and the NFL’s top-ranked passing offense.

Lions wideout Calvin Johnson could be having a better season, but it looks like Megatron may be warming up just a little too late. Johnson has caught 24 passes for 479 yards and two scores in his last three games. Johnson may not be facing Texans corner Jonathan Joseph (hamstring), opening the door for a potentially explosive day. The Texans will focus on the Lions passing game and force Detroit to beat them with their 23rd ranked rushing attack.

Matt Schaub and Andre Johnson understand the cohesiveness of their counterparts. Last week Johnson posted career highs in receptions (14) and yards (273) yards against the Jaguars.  The Texans passing offense ranks 12th in the NFL. Expect to see a little less of Arian Foster who already has a league-high 249 carries (Marshawn Lynch is second with 212). Foster is fourth in the NFL with 949 rushing yards. Reliable backup Ben Tate is more than capable to shoulder the load.

The Lions may be without left tackle Jeff Backus — who has an ailing hamstring, threatening his streak of 186 consecutive starts. The potential loss of Backus tilts the scales heavily in favor of J.J. Watt and the Texans 7th ranked pass defense. 

Prediction – The Lions have been the main course on this day for nearly a decade. The Texans are probably feeling more embarrassed than lucky for letting Jacksonville hang around last week. I don’t see the Lions getting the same courtesy.

Texans 36 – Lions 21

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