@TSFSports Week 11 NFL Predictions: There’s gonna be some furniture movin’ this weekend


After five straight wins, things are finally looking up in Carolina.

Sunday night’s meeting between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Denver Broncos is enveloped by a number of games which could alter the direction of the NFL postseason. In Philadelphia, the Eagles are looking to move into first place in the NFC East if they can complete the season sweep of DC. The Carolina Panthers are on the prowl, and a victory over the New England Patriots coupled with a San Francisco 49ers win over the New Orleans Saints moves them into a first place tie in the NFC South.

Elsewhere, the Detroit Lions, Seattle Seahawks and Cincinnati Bengals cannot afford any slippage in their divisional leads against the Pittsburgh Steelers, Minnesota Vikings or Cleveland Browns, respectively.

Byes this week: Cowboys and Rams

Thursday Night:

The Indianapolis Colts spotted the Tennessee Titans 14 points before running back Donald Brown took over and pushed the Colts to a 30-27 victory. The Colts have not lost back to back games under Chuck Pagano — winning their eighth in a row after a loss. Tennessee’s Chris Johnson started out hot — rushing for 70 yards and two touchdowns in the first quarter — only to be held to 16 yards the rest of the way. The Titans failed to recover a critical onside kick late in the game for the second consecutive week.

Sunday November 17, 2013. Games beginning at 1:00 pm:

NY Jets (5-4) at Buffalo Bills (3-7) – Don’t buy into the BS about the Bills second-guessing their choice of quarterback E.J. Manuel. Manuel is way down on the list of problems in Buffalo. The Jets need this one to stay in the postseason mix.

Jets 23 – Bills 18

Atlanta Falcons (2-7) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-8) – The Falcons are a shell of themselves and the Buccaneers can’t get out of their own way. Black this one out in both cities.

Falcons 27 – Bucs 13

Detroit Lions (6-3) at Pittsburgh Steelers (3-6) – Not quite a trap game, but one the Lions could slip up in. Ben Roethlisberger will show how bad he wants to stay in Pittsburgh.

Steelers 28 – Lions 20

DC (3-6) at Philadelphia Eagles (5-5) – Chip Kelly and the Eagles can expect the Robert Griffin III who appeared in the second half of their first meeting. The Eagles defense has played great for the past six weeks. If linebacker Mychal Kendricks can go, he will be assigned to spy on Griffin. Cary Williams has his work cut out for him dealing with Pierre Garcon. The home losing streak ends here.

Eagles 31 – DC 20

Arizona Cardinals (5-4) at Jacksonville Jaguars (1-8) – The Cardinals are hanging around at the right time. How come no one is talking about Tyrann Mathieu? He’s all over the field for the Cardinals and 53 tackles and two picks while lining up at both corner back and safety.

Cardinals 33 – Jaguars 17 

Oakland Raiders (3-6) at Houston Texans (2-7) – The Raiders kindly refused the 17-points the Giants offered in the first half and took a 24-20 defeat back home. Andre Johnson is warming up for the Texans, too bad he’s the only one.

Raiders 26 – Texans 20

Baltimore Ravens (4-5) at Chicago Bears (5-4) – The Ravens playoff hopes rest on a victory at hostile Soldier Field. Josh McCown will probably get the nod while Jay Cutler completely heals. Has anyone seen Ray Rice lately?

Bears 27 – Ravens 17

Cleveland Browns (4-5) at Cincinnati Bengals (6-4) – The Browns are looking for a season sweep of a Bengals team coming off back to back heart breakers. Bengals rookie Giovani Bernard workload will increase as the postseason draws near.

Bengals 30 – Browns 17

Games beginning at 4:05 or later:

San Diego Chargers (4-5) at Miami Dolphins (4-5) – The Dolphins were never dialed in last week against the Buccaneers and the Chargers late rally against the Broncos fell just short. The distractions in the Dolphins locker room are too much to overcome — even at home.

Chargers 23 – Dolphins 16

Green Bay Packers (5-4) at NY Giants (3-6) – The Giants three consecutive wins will be for naught if they can’t handle the vulnerable Packers.

Giants 27 – Packers 10

Minnesota Vikings (2-7) at Seattle Seahawks (9-1) – Seattle is making it look too easy at both ends of the field. Things will get interesting after their bye week.

Seahawks 23 – Vikings 10

San Francisco 49ers (6-3) at New Orleans Saints (7-2) – There won’t be 40 first downs by the Saints this week. If they can get half that in points, it should be enough. The lack of a go to receiver other than Vernon Davis has stifled the Niners offense.

Saints 27 – Niners 22

Kansas City Chiefs (9-0) at Denver Broncos (8-1) – If Jack Del Rio wants a head coaching gig in the NFL again, he’ll throw the hobbled Peyton Manning a life raft the first time he meets that Chiefs pass rush. I don’t see the Broncos pushing this team around at all. Andy Reid gets up for in-season games like this.

Chiefs 29 – Broncos 21

Monday November 18, 2013, 8:40 pm:

New England Patriots (7-2-) at Carolina Panthers (6-3) – A win here does so many things for the Panthers and in particular Cam Newton. Last week’s gut check win against the Niners was the Panthers first against a legit contender. Bill Belichick may have prepared for Newton, but this Carolina defense is legit.

Panthers 26 – Patriots 19 

Last Week: 7-7

2013 Season: 72-53 

4 Responses to “@TSFSports Week 11 NFL Predictions: There’s gonna be some furniture movin’ this weekend”

  1. CAvard says:

    Carolina’s defense “is” legit. That team looks scary going into the final seven weeks.

  2. mapoui says:

    mid-season, and additionally by the state of todays games…I am more convinced than ever of my way of predicting games…

    Predicting NFL games has become hard work…currently harder than ever due to parity between teams. prediction does not yield easily to straight up comparison of teams and so-called player match-ups

    going that way exclusively has lead to truly dismal expert stats this season. I have been reading them far and wide and the only one with quality results that deserve the term expert,is Ron Jaworski

    to me in the NFL.. expert knowledge of the game is rather a hindrance. Form is a better tactic. like I knew Tampa would likely beat Atlanta today because the team is running into form and Atlanta has run down and Mat Ryan is not as good as the MSM insists.

    I also knew that any game between Buffalo, Jets and Miami cannot be calculated on anything so mundane as match-ups and other routine comparisons. anything can happen in those games those sides having such a long history of hate between them

    intangibles matter more than more than any other criteria in the NFL..intangibles…form, hate, coaching, time differentials all sorts of things. it is better to look into these areas to find accurate prediction than anywhere else.

    I quietly compared my predictions based on my angles over the first half to the experts I follow…and only Ron Jaworski is ahead of me. I am beating all the rest…some by long margins.

    if one is into betting, even fantasy it makes no sense at all to even listen to the experts. nao expert this week that I saw, discussed how close Buffalo has been all season to quality results..how good a coach Doug Marrone is and how comfortable his players feel with him. they clearly like the man and he knows what he is about… that he appears a very fair man.

    that counts for a huge amount. all things being equal Marrone should have a good run with the Bills…

    I deliberately sought to tamp down my growing understanding of the mechanics of the game to foster my awareness of the intangibles involved, to better predict results and and win money

  3. mapoui says:

    our Ron Glover fine!

    today for example 99% of the experts picked Cleveland over Cincy. Ron got it right

    Ron has the Steelers and the Raiders….and the Raiders especially could not have been an easy selection.

    todays card is a difficult enough card but Ron is batting 75%

  4. Miranda says:

    Atlanta may well be the worst team in the league.